Free Preakness Stakes Wagering Guide & Picks (2024)

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Free Preakness Stakes Wagering Guide & Picks (1)

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may20//2023

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Free Preakness Stakes Wagering Guide & Picks (2)

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preakness & black-eyed susan

NEED-TO-KNOW

HOST SITE:

PIMLICO // BALTIMORE, MD

RACE DATE:

BLACK-EYED SUSAN: FRIDAY, MAY 19
PREAKNESS STAKES: SATURDAY, MAY 20

FIRST RACE POST TIME:

10:30AM ET - FRIDAY, MAY 19
10:30AM ET - SATURDAY, MAY 20

WATCH FREE AND WAGER:

ALL RACES ON 1/ST BET APP // XPRESSBET.COM

TELEVISION:

1:00 - 7:30PM ET CNBC & NBC // SATURDAY

WAGERING NOTES:

ADVANCED WAGERING // FRIDAY
PREAKNESS TOURNAMENT // SATURDAY // XPRESSBET.COM
BLACK-EYED SUSAN/PREAKNESS DAILY DOUBLE

PREAKNESS DAY sTAKES races lineup (ALL TIMES EST)

PREAKNESS STAKES

$1.5M

R13

7:01PM

1 3/16 MI

JAMES W. MURPHY

$100K

R12

5:51PM

1 MI (T)

MARYLAND SPRINT

$100K

R11

4:53PM

6 FUR

JIM MCKAY TURF SPRINT

$100K

R10

4:12PM

5 FUR (T)

SKIPAT

$100K

R9

3:31PM

6 FUR

DINNER PARTY

$200K

R8

2:49PM

1 1/8 MI (T)

GALORETTE

$100K

R7

2:08PM

1 1/16 MI (T)

CHICK LANG

$200K

R6

1:29PM

6 FUR

SIR BARTON

$100K

R4

12:16PM

1 1/16 MI

Free Preakness Stakes Wagering Guide & Picks (4)

Free Preakness Stakes Wagering Guide & Picks (5)

meet the

preakness stakes

contenders

Free Preakness Stakes Wagering Guide & Picks (6)

NATIONAL TREASURE

1

STATS →

NATIONAL TREASURE

M/L

4-1

Career Record:

5: 1-1-2

Career Earnings:

$345,000

Past 5 Races:

4-3-3-2-1

Jockey:

John Velazquez

Trainer:

Bob Baffert

Color/Age:

BAY/3YO

Pedigree:

Quality Road-Treasure

Santa Anita Derby fourth-place finisher comes to Baltimore freshened since ealry April. Trainer Baffert's 7 Preakness wins are tied for most all-time. While he has not won since September at Del Mar, National Treasure has cashed checks in 3 Grade 1 stakes races.

Free Preakness Stakes Wagering Guide & Picks (7)

CHASE THE CHAOS

2

STATS →

CHASE THE CHAOS

M/L

50-1

Career Record:

7: 3-2-1

Career Earnings:

$123,500

Past 5 Races:

7-1-1-2-3

Jockey:

Sheldon Russell

Trainer:

Ed Moger Jr.

Color/Age:

Bay/3YO

Pedigree:

Astern-Live the Moment

Earned an automatic Preakness qualifier when winning the El Camino Real Derby at Pimlico's sister track Golden Gate Fields in February. Rombauer used that same path in winning the 2021 Preakness. Strong finisher on turf and synthetic surfaces, he was well beaten and not a threat in the San Felipe at Santa Anita in his only try on dirt.

Free Preakness Stakes Wagering Guide & Picks (8)

MAGE

3

STATS →

MAGE

M/L

8-5

Career Record:

4: 2-1-0

Career Earnings:

$2,107,200

Past 5 Races:

1-2-4-1

Jockey:

Javier Castellano

Trainer:

Gustavo Delgado

Color/Age:

Chestnut/3YO

Pedigree:

Good Magic-Puca

Kentucky Derby winner overcame tight timeframe to go from unstarted to Jan. 28 to wearing the roses in just his fourth lifetime start. Florida Derby runner-up continues to rise. Grandson of Preakness winner Curlin and Kentucky Derby/Preakness winner Big Brown.

Free Preakness Stakes Wagering Guide & Picks (9)

COFFEEWITHCHRIS

4

STATS →

COFFEEWITHCHRIS

M/L

20-1

Career Record:

12: 3-3-2

Career Earnings:

$225,600

Past 5 Races:

5-2-1-2-1

Jockey:

Jaime Rodriguez

Trainer:

John Salzman Jr.

Color/Age:

Dark Bay or Brown/3YO

Pedigree:

Ride On Curlin-Andiemac

Maryland's lone local rep in this year's Preakness won the Miracle Wood and Heft Stakes this winter. Exits a 5th-place finish, beaten less than 3 lengths, by Preakness return rival Perform in the Federico Tesio. Jockey Rodriguez tied the Laurel single-day record by riding 7 winners on March 17.

Free Preakness Stakes Wagering Guide & Picks (10)

RED ROUTE ONE

5

STATS →

RED ROUTE ONE

M/L

10-1

Career Record:

Career Earnings:

$631,575

Past 5 Races:

1-6-2-2-4

Jockey:

Joel Rosario

Trainer:

Steve Asmussen

Color/Age:

Chestnut/3YO

Pedigree:

Gun Runner-Red House

Earned an automatic Preakness qualifier by winning Oaklawn's April 22 Bath House Row Stakes with his rallying style. Veteran of the entire Arkansas Derby trail was runner-up in the Southwest and Rebel before a disappointing sixth in Oaklawn's main event. Trainer Asmussen won the Preakness with Curlin (2007) and Rachel Alexandra (2009) and was second last year with Epicenter.

Free Preakness Stakes Wagering Guide & Picks (11)

PERFORM

6

STATS →

PERFORM

M/L

15-1

Career Record:

7: 2-1-1

Career Earnings:

$130,956

Past 5 Races:

1-1-4-6-3

Jockey:

Feargal Lynch

Trainer:

Shug McGaughey

Color/Age:

BAY/3YO

Pedigree:

Good Magic-Jane Says

Won Laurel's Federico Tesio Stakes for an automatic berth into the Preakness, but owner had to pay $150,000 supplemental fee to compete since Perform was not nominated to the Triple Crown. Started career 0-5, but has won back-to-back races for McGaughey, who seeks his first Preakness win. He had 1989 runner-up Easy Goer and 2013 Kentucky Derby winner Orb among his 3 Preakness bids.

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BLAZING SEVENS

7

STATS →

BLAZING SEVENS

M/L

6-1

Career Record:

6: 2-0-2

Career Earnings:

$565,250

Past 5 Races:

3-8-4-1-3

Jockey:

Irad Ortiz Jr.

Trainer:

Chad Brown

Color/Age:

Dark Bay or Brown/3YO

Pedigree:

Good Magic-Trophy Girl

Grade 1 Champagne winner at age 2 most recently finished a distant third in the Grade 1 Blue Grass behind Tapit Trice & Verifying. Trainer Brown is a 2-time Preakness winner (2017, 2022). Brown finished third in last year's Derby with Zandon and second in 2018 with Good Magic, sire of Blazing Sevens.

Free Preakness Stakes Wagering Guide & Picks (13)

FIRST MISSION

8

STATS →

SCRATCHED

FIRST MISSION

M/L

5-2

Career Record:

3: 2-1-0

Career Earnings:

$276,500

Past 5 Races:

1-1-2

Jockey:

Luis Saez

Trainer:

Brad Cox

Color/Age:

Dark Bay or Brown/3YO

Pedigree:

Street Sense-Elude

Winner of Keeneland's Lexington Stakes is a late-bloomer who did not debut until February 18 and was not part of the Derby field. Son of 2007 Kentucky Derby winner Street Sense, who lost the photo by a head in the Preakness to Curlin. He's 2-for-2 since stretching out to route distances and the Preakness will be his farthest attempt by a full furlong.

Free Preakness Stakes Wagering Guide & Picks (14)

NATIONAL TREASURE

STATS →

1

NATIONAL TREASURE

M/L

4-1

Career Record:

5: 1-1-2

Career Earnings:

$345,000

Past 5 Races:

4-3-3-2-1

Jockey:

John Velazquez

Trainer:

Bob Baffert

Color/Age:

BAY/3YO

Pedigree:

Quality Road-Treasure

Santa Anita Derby fourth-place finisher comes to Baltimore freshened since ealry April. Trainer Baffert's 7 Preakness wins are tied for most all-time. While he has not won since September at Del Mar, National Treasure has cashed checks in 3 Grade 1 stakes races.

Free Preakness Stakes Wagering Guide & Picks (15)

CHASE THE CHAOS

STATS →

2

CHASE THE CHAOS

M/L

50-1

Career Record:

7: 3-2-1

Career Earnings:

$123,500

Past 5 Races:

7-1-1-2-3

Jockey:

Sheldon Russell

Trainer:

Ed Moger Jr.

Color/Age:

Bay/3YO

Pedigree:

Astern-Live the Moment

Earned an automatic Preakness qualifier when winning the El Camino Real Derby at Pimlico's sister track Golden Gate Fields in February. Rombauer used that same path in winning the 2021 Preakness. Strong finisher on turf and synthetic surfaces, he was well beaten and not a threat in the San Felipe at Santa Anita in his only try on dirt.

Free Preakness Stakes Wagering Guide & Picks (16)

MAGE

STATS →

3

MAGE

M/L

8-5

Career Record:

4: 2-1-0

Career Earnings:

$2,107,200

Past 5 Races:

1-2-4-1

Jockey:

Javier Castellano

Trainer:

Gustavo Delgado

Color/Age:

Chestnut/3YO

Pedigree:

Good Magic-Puca

Kentucky Derby winner overcame tight timeframe to go from unstarted to Jan. 28 to wearing the roses in just his fourth lifetime start. Florida Derby runner-up continues to rise. Grandson of Preakness winner Curlin and Kentucky Derby/Preakness winner Big Brown.

Free Preakness Stakes Wagering Guide & Picks (17)

COFFEEWITHCHRIS

STATS →

4

COFFEEWITHCHRIS

M/L

20-1

Career Record:

12: 3-3-2

Career Earnings:

$225,600

Past 5 Races:

5-2-1-2-1

Jockey:

Jaime Rodriguez

Trainer:

John Salzman Jr.

Color/Age:

Dark Bay or Brown/3YO

Pedigree:

Ride On Curlin-Andiemac

Maryland's lone local rep in this year's Preakness won the Miracle Wood and Heft Stakes this winter. Exits a 5th-place finish, beaten less than 3 lengths, by Preakness return rival Perform in the Federico Tesio. Jockey Rodriguez tied the Laurel single-day record by riding 7 winners on March 17.

Free Preakness Stakes Wagering Guide & Picks (18)

RED ROUTE ONE

STATS →

5

RED ROUTE ONE

M/L

10-1

Career Record:

Career Earnings:

$631,575

Past 5 Races:

1-6-2-2-4

Jockey:

Joel Rosario

Trainer:

Steve Asmussen

Color/Age:

Chestnut/3YO

Pedigree:

Gun Runner-Red House

Earned an automatic Preakness qualifier by winning Oaklawn's April 22 Bath House Row Stakes with his rallying style. Veteran of the entire Arkansas Derby trail was runner-up in the Southwest and Rebel before a disappointing sixth in Oaklawn's main event. Trainer Asmussen won the Preakness with Curlin (2007) and Rachel Alexandra (2009) and was second last year with Epicenter.

PERFORM

M/L

15-1

Career Record:

7: 2-1-1

Career Earnings:

$130,956

Past 5 Races:

1-1-4-6-3

Jockey:

Feargal Lynch

Trainer:

Shug McGaughey

Color/Age:

BAY/3YO

Pedigree:

Good Magic-Jane Says

Won Laurel's Federico Tesio Stakes for an automatic berth into the Preakness, but owner had to pay $150,000 supplemental fee to compete since Perform was not nominated to the Triple Crown. Started career 0-5, but has won back-to-back races for McGaughey, who seeks his first Preakness win. He had 1989 runner-up Easy Goer and 2013 Kentucky Derby winner Orb among his 3 Preakness bids.

Free Preakness Stakes Wagering Guide & Picks (20)

BLAZING SEVENS

STATS →

7

BLAZING SEVENS

M/L

6-1

Career Record:

6: 2-0-2

Career Earnings:

$565,250

Past 5 Races:

3-8-4-1-3

Jockey:

Irad Ortiz Jr.

Trainer:

Chad Brown

Color/Age:

Dark Bay or Brown/3YO

Pedigree:

Good Magic-Trophy Girl

Grade 1 Champagne winner at age 2 most recently finished a distant third in the Grade 1 Blue Grass behind Tapit Trice & Verifying. Trainer Brown is a 2-time Preakness winner (2017, 2022). Brown finished third in last year's Derby with Zandon and second in 2018 with Good Magic, sire of Blazing Sevens.

Free Preakness Stakes Wagering Guide & Picks (21)

FIRST MISSION

STATS →

8

SCRATCHED

FIRST MISSION

M/L

5-2

Career Record:

3: 2-1-0

Career Earnings:

$276,500

Past 5 Races:

1-1-2

Jockey:

Luis Saez

Trainer:

Brad Cox

Color/Age:

Dark Bay or Brown/3YO

Pedigree:

Street Sense-Elude

Winner of Keeneland's Lexington Stakes is a late-bloomer who did not debut until February 18 and was not part of the Derby field. Son of 2007 Kentucky Derby winner Street Sense, who lost the photo by a head in the Preakness to Curlin. He's 2-for-2 since stretching out to route distances and the Preakness will be his farthest attempt by a full furlong.

Free Preakness Stakes Wagering Guide & Picks (22)

NATIONAL TREASURE

STATS →

1

NATIONAL TREASURE

M/L

4-1

Career Record:

5: 1-1-2

Career Earnings:

$345,000

Past 5 Races:

4-3-3-2-1

Jockey:

John Velazquez

Trainer:

Bob Baffert

Color/Age:

BAY/3YO

Sire:

Quality Road-Treasure

Santa Anita Derby fourth-place finisher comes to Baltimore freshened since ealry April. Trainer Baffert's 7 Preakness wins are tied for most all-time. While he has not won since September at Del Mar, National Treasure has cashed checks in 3 Grade 1 stakes races.

Free Preakness Stakes Wagering Guide & Picks (23)

CHASE THE CHAOS

STATS →

2

CHASE THE CHAOS

M/L

50-1

Career Record:

7: 3-2-1

Career Earnings:

$123,500

Past 5 Races:

7-1-1-2-3

Jockey:

Sheldon Russell

Trainer:

Ed Moger Jr.

Color/Age:

Bay/3YO

Sire:

Astern-Live the Moment

Earned an automatic Preakness qualifier when winning the El Camino Real Derby at Pimlico's sister track Golden Gate Fields in February. Rombauer used that same path in winning the 2021 Preakness. Strong finisher on turf and synthetic surfaces, he was well beaten and not a threat in the San Felipe at Santa Anita in his only try on dirt.

Free Preakness Stakes Wagering Guide & Picks (24)

MAGE

STATS →

3

MAGE

M/L

8-5

Career Record:

4: 2-1-0

Career Earnings:

$2,107,200

Past 5 Races:

1-2-4-1

Jockey:

Javier Castellano

Trainer:

Gustavo Delgado

Color/Age:

Chestnut/3YO

Sire:

Good Magic-Puca

Kentucky Derby winner overcame tight timeframe to go from unstarted to Jan. 28 to wearing the roses in just his fourth lifetime start. Florida Derby runner-up continues to rise. Grandson of Preakness winner Curlin and Kentucky Derby/Preakness winner Big Brown.

Free Preakness Stakes Wagering Guide & Picks (25)

COFFEEWITHCHRIS

STATS →

4

COFFEEWITHCHRIS

M/L

20-1

Career Record:

12: 3-3-2

Career Earnings:

$225,600

Past 5 Races:

5-2-1-2-1

Jockey:

Jaime Rodriguez

Trainer:

John Salzman Jr.

Color/Age:

Dark Bay or Brown/3YO

Sire:

Ride On Curlin-Andiemac

Maryland's lone local rep in this year's Preakness won the Miracle Wood and Heft Stakes this winter. Exits a 5th-place finish, beaten less than 3 lengths, by Preakness return rival Perform in the Federico Tesio. Jockey Rodriguez tied the Laurel single-day record by riding 7 winners on March 17.

Free Preakness Stakes Wagering Guide & Picks (26)

RED ROUTE ONE

STATS →

5

RED ROUTE ONE

M/L

10-1

Career Record:

Career Earnings:

$631,575

Past 5 Races:

1-6-2-2-4

Jockey:

Joel Rosario

Trainer:

Steve Asmussen

Color/Age:

Chestnut/3YO

Sire:

Gun Runner-Red House

Earned an automatic Preakness qualifier by winning Oaklawn's April 22 Bath House Row Stakes with his rallying style. Veteran of the entire Arkansas Derby trail was runner-up in the Southwest and Rebel before a disappointing sixth in Oaklawn's main event. Trainer Asmussen won the Preakness with Curlin (2007) and Rachel Alexandra (2009) and was second last year with Epicenter.

Free Preakness Stakes Wagering Guide & Picks (27)

PERFORM

STATS →

6

PERFORM

M/L

15-1

Career Record:

7: 2-1-1

Career Earnings:

$130,956

Past 5 Races:

1-1-4-6-3

Jockey:

Feargal Lynch

Trainer:

Shug McGaughey

Color/Age:

BAY/3YO

Sire:

Good Magic-Jane Says

Won Laurel's Federico Tesio Stakes for an automatic berth into the Preakness, but owner had to pay $150,000 supplemental fee to compete since Perform was not nominated to the Triple Crown. Started career 0-5, but has won back-to-back races for McGaughey, who seeks his first Preakness win. He had 1989 runner-up Easy Goer and 2013 Kentucky Derby winner Orb among his 3 Preakness bids.

Free Preakness Stakes Wagering Guide & Picks (28)

BLAZING SEVENS

STATS →

7

BLAZING SEVENS

M/L

6-1

Career Record:

6: 2-0-2

Career Earnings:

$565,250

Past 5 Races:

3-8-4-1-3

Jockey:

Irad Ortiz Jr.

Trainer:

Chad Brown

Color/Age:

Dark Bay or Brown/3YO

Sire:

Good Magic-Trophy Girl

Grade 1 Champagne winner at age 2 most recently finished a distant third in the Grade 1 Blue Grass behind Tapit Trice & Verifying. Trainer Brown is a 2-time Preakness winner (2017, 2022). Brown finished third in last year's Derby with Zandon and second in 2018 with Good Magic, sire of Blazing Sevens.

Free Preakness Stakes Wagering Guide & Picks (29)

FIRST MISSION

STATS →

8

SCRATCHED

FIRST MISSION

M/L

5-2

Career Record:

3: 2-1-0

Career Earnings:

$276,500

Past 5 Races:

1-1-2

Jockey:

Luis Saez

Trainer:

Brad Cox

Color/Age:

Dark Bay or Brown/3YO

Sire:

Street Sense-Elude

Winner of Keeneland's Lexington Stakes is a late-bloomer who did not debut until February 18 and was not part of the Derby field. Son of 2007 Kentucky Derby winner Street Sense, who lost the photo by a head in the Preakness to Curlin. He's 2-for-2 since stretching out to route distances and the Preakness will be his farthest attempt by a full furlong.

Free Preakness Stakes Wagering Guide & Picks (30)

NATIONAL TREASURE

STATS →

1

NATIONAL TREASURE

M/L

4-1

Career Record:

5: 1-1-2

Career Earnings:

$345,000

Past 5 Races:

4-3-3-2-1

Jockey:

John Velazquez

Trainer:

Bob Baffert

Color/Age:

BAY/3YO

Pedigree:

Quality Road-Treasure

Santa Anita Derby fourth-place finisher comes to Baltimore freshened since ealry April. Trainer Baffert's 7 Preakness wins are tied for most all-time. While he has not won since September at Del Mar, National Treasure has cashed checks in 3 Grade 1 stakes races.

Free Preakness Stakes Wagering Guide & Picks (31)

CHASE THE CHAOS

STATS →

2

CHASE THE CHAOS

M/L

50-1

Career Record:

7: 3-2-1

Career Earnings:

$123,500

Past 5 Races:

7-1-1-2-3

Jockey:

Sheldon Russell

Trainer:

Ed Moger Jr.

Color/Age:

Bay/3YO

Pedigree:

Astern-Live the Moment

Earned an automatic Preakness qualifier when winning the El Camino Real Derby at Pimlico's sister track Golden Gate Fields in February. Rombauer used that same path in winning the 2021 Preakness. Strong finisher on turf and synthetic surfaces, he was well beaten and not a threat in the San Felipe at Santa Anita in his only try on dirt.

Free Preakness Stakes Wagering Guide & Picks (32)

MAGE

STATS →

3

MAGE

M/L

8-5

Career Record:

4: 2-1-0

Career Earnings:

$2,107,200

Past 5 Races:

1-2-4-1

Jockey:

Javier Castellano

Trainer:

Gustavo Delgado

Color/Age:

Chestnut/3YO

Pedigree:

Good Magic-Puca

Kentucky Derby winner overcame tight timeframe to go from unstarted to Jan. 28 to wearing the roses in just his fourth lifetime start. Florida Derby runner-up continues to rise. Grandson of Preakness winner Curlin and Kentucky Derby/Preakness winner Big Brown.

Free Preakness Stakes Wagering Guide & Picks (33)

COFFEEWITHCHRIS

STATS →

4

COFFEEWITHCHRIS

M/L

20-1

Career Record:

12: 3-3-2

Career Earnings:

$225,600

Past 5 Races:

5-2-1-2-1

Jockey:

Jaime Rodriguez

Trainer:

John Salzman Jr.

Color/Age:

Dark Bay or Brown/3YO

Pedigree:

Ride On Curlin-Andiemac

Maryland's lone local rep in this year's Preakness won the Miracle Wood and Heft Stakes this winter. Exits a 5th-place finish, beaten less than 3 lengths, by Preakness return rival Perform in the Federico Tesio. Jockey Rodriguez tied the Laurel single-day record by riding 7 winners on March 17.

Free Preakness Stakes Wagering Guide & Picks (34)

RED ROUTE ONE

STATS →

5

RED ROUTE ONE

M/L

10-1

Career Record:

Career Earnings:

$631,575

Past 5 Races:

1-6-2-2-4

Jockey:

Joel Rosario

Trainer:

Steve Asmussen

Color/Age:

Chestnut/3YO

Pedigree:

Gun Runner-Red House

Earned an automatic Preakness qualifier by winning Oaklawn's April 22 Bath House Row Stakes with his rallying style. Veteran of the entire Arkansas Derby trail was runner-up in the Southwest and Rebel before a disappointing sixth in Oaklawn's main event. Trainer Asmussen won the Preakness with Curlin (2007) and Rachel Alexandra (2009) and was second last year with Epicenter.

Free Preakness Stakes Wagering Guide & Picks (35)

PERFORM

STATS →

6

PERFORM

M/L

15-1

Career Record:

7: 2-1-1

Career Earnings:

$130,956

Past 5 Races:

1-1-4-6-3

Jockey:

Feargal Lynch

Trainer:

Shug McGaughey

Color/Age:

BAY/3YO

Pedigree:

Good Magic-Jane Says

Won Laurel's Federico Tesio Stakes for an automatic berth into the Preakness, but owner had to pay $150,000 supplemental fee to compete since Perform was not nominated to the Triple Crown. Started career 0-5, but has won back-to-back races for McGaughey, who seeks his first Preakness win. He had 1989 runner-up Easy Goer and 2013 Kentucky Derby winner Orb among his 3 Preakness bids.

Free Preakness Stakes Wagering Guide & Picks (36)

BLAZING SEVENS

STATS →

7

BLAZING SEVENS

M/L

6-1

Career Record:

6: 2-0-2

Career Earnings:

$565,250

Past 5 Races:

3-8-4-1-3

Jockey:

Irad Ortiz Jr.

Trainer:

Chad Brown

Color/Age:

Dark Bay or Brown/3YO

Pedigree:

Good Magic-Trophy Girl

Grade 1 Champagne winner at age 2 most recently finished a distant third in the Grade 1 Blue Grass behind Tapit Trice & Verifying. Trainer Brown is a 2-time Preakness winner (2017, 2022). Brown finished third in last year's Derby with Zandon and second in 2018 with Good Magic, sire of Blazing Sevens.

Free Preakness Stakes Wagering Guide & Picks (37)

FIRST MISSION

STATS →

8

SCRATCHED

FIRST MISSION

M/L

5-2

Career Record:

3: 2-1-0

Career Earnings:

$276,500

Past 5 Races:

1-1-2

Jockey:

Luis Saez

Trainer:

Brad Cox

Color/Age:

Dark Bay or Brown/3YO

Pedigree:

Street Sense-Elude

Winner of Keeneland's Lexington Stakes is a late-bloomer who did not debut until February 18 and was not part of the Derby field. Son of 2007 Kentucky Derby winner Street Sense, who lost the photo by a head in the Preakness to Curlin. He's 2-for-2 since stretching out to route distances and the Preakness will be his farthest attempt by a full furlong.

Free Preakness Stakes Wagering Guide & Picks (38)

Free Preakness Stakes Wagering Guide & Picks (39)

PREAKNESS STAKES

EXPERT BEST BETS

MICHELLE YU

PREAKNESS STAKES

Free Preakness Stakes Wagering Guide & Picks (40)

MAGE
NATIONAL TREASURE
RED ROUTE ONE

KALI FRANCOIS

PREAKNESS STAKES

Free Preakness Stakes Wagering Guide & Picks (41)

MAGE
PERFORM
NATIONAL TREASURE

ZOE CADMAN

PREAKNESS STAKES

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BLAZING SEVENS
MAGE
PERFORM

MILLIE BALL

PREAKNESS STAKES

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NATIONAL TREASURE
MAGE
DISARM

JEREMY PLONK

PREAKNESS STAKES

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PERFORM
MAGE
NATIONAL TREASURE

BRIAN SPENCER

PREAKNESS STAKES

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NATIONAL TREASURE
MAGE
PERFORM

PETER LURIE

PREAKNESS STAKES

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NATIONAL TREASURE
MAGE
BLAZING SEVENS

JON WHITE

PREAKNESS STAKES

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MAGE
NATIONAL TREASURE
PERFORM

BRIAN NADEAU

PREAKNESS STAKES

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MAGE
NATIONAL TREASURE
BLAZING SEVENS

SAMANTHA PERRY

PREAKNESS STAKES

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NATIONAL TREASURE
MAGE
PERFORM

KEITH FEUSTLE

PREAKNESS STAKES

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MAGE
BLAZING SEVENS
NATIONAL TREASURE

JEFF SIEGEL

PREAKNESS STAKES

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MAGE
NATIONAL TREASURE
PERFORM

GEORGE ORTUZAR

PREAKNESS STAKES

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MAGE
NATIONAL TREASURE
BLAZING SEVENS

DUSTIN FABIAN

PREAKNESS STAKES

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NATIONAL TREASURE
MAGE
RED ROUTE ONE
BLAZING SEVENS

MATT DINERMAN

PREAKNESS STAKES

Free Preakness Stakes Wagering Guide & Picks (54)

NATIONAL TREASURE
MAGE
PERFORM

EDDIE OLCZYK

PREAKNESS STAKES

Free Preakness Stakes Wagering Guide & Picks (55)

BLAZING SEVENS
RED ROUTE ONE
MAGE
NATIONAL TREASURE

first call: racing podcast

  • JEFF SIEGEL & JEREMY PLONK
  • PREAKNESS STAKES
  • BLACK-EYED SUSAN
  • CONTENDER ANALYSIS
  • BETTING ANGLES

Free Preakness Stakes Wagering Guide & Picks (56)

Free Preakness Stakes Wagering Guide & Picks (57)

the machine

all races

BLACK-EYED SUSAN DAY

ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE picks

powered by betmix

The 1/ST BET 'Machine' analyzes millions of data points over more than 50 important handicapping factors for each race to create an exclusive handicapping outcome driven by big data.

POST

HORSE

WIN%

PLACE%

SHOW%

FAIR ODDS

BLACK-EYED SUSAN DAY FRIDAY, MAY 19

RACE 9 // THE VERY ONE

3:36PM ET // $100K

PP

HORSE

WIN%

PLACE%

SHOW%

5

THUNDERING CREED

27%

46%

56%

8

SPICY MARG

17%

27%

38%

7

GOLDEN EFFECT

10%

21%

40%

9

HER WORLD

10%

20%

30%

RACE 10 // MISS PREAKNESS

4:07PM ET // $150K

PP

HORSE

WIN%

PLACE%

SHOW%

6

MAPLE LEAF MEL

24%

36%

40%

8

GOODBYE KYLE

16%

24%

34%

11

VAHVA

12%

26%

34%

4

FOGO ISLAND

10%

26%

34%

RACE 3 // ALLOWANCE

11:30AM ET // $134K

PP

HORSE

WIN%

PLACE%

SHOW%

18

CREATIVE MINISTER

18%

31%

42%

13

PRICE TALK

16%

29%

37%

17

BUTTON BOY

10%

17%

22%

6

POINT ME BY

6%

14%

25%

RACE 4 // ALLOWANCE

12:05PM ET // $134K

PP

HORSE

WIN%

PLACE%

SHOW%

4

NOT SO CLOSE

18%

31%

42%

16

MOUFFY

18%

30%

41%

9

JUMP INTO THE FIRE

14%

16%

25%

7

HEARTYCONSTITUTION

9%

18%

24%

RACE 5 // G2 ALYSHEBA

12:43PM ET // $600K

PP

HORSE

WIN%

PLACE%

SHOW%

4

WEST WILL POWER

27%

47%

68%

1

ART COLLECTOR

22%

46%

61%

2

LAST SAMURAI

14%

30%

45%

3

RICH STRIKE

14%

29%

45%

RACE 6 // G3 MODESTY

1:26PM ET // $300K

PP

HORSE

WIN%

PLACE%

SHOW%

6

McKULICK

29%

45%

56%

8

NEW YEAR'S EVE

15%

32%

46%

7

SHANTISARA

14%

34%

52%

4

SPARKLE BLUE

11%

20%

34%

RACE 7 // G2 EIGHT BELLES

2:09PM ET // $500K

PP

HORSE

WIN%

PLACE%

SHOW%

9

MUNNY'S GOLD

28%

51%

61%

8

ACCEDE

19%

31%

51%

4

EFFORTLESSLYELGANT

15%

22%

34%

6

RED CARPET BEAUTY

12%

22%

28%

RACE 8 // UNBRIDLED SIDNEY

3:03PM ET // $300K

PP

HORSE

WIN%

PLACE%

SHOW%

11

CARAVEL

26%

379%

51%

1

BAY STORM

17%

27%

39%

8

OEUVRE

13%

31%

41%

9

LITTLE JEWEL

8%

21%

28%

RACE 9 // G1 LA TROIENNE

4:04PM ET // $750K

PP

HORSE

WIN%

PLACE%

SHOW%

7

SOCIETY

24%

51%

62%

1

PLAYED HARD

15%

28%

40%

4

SECRET OATH

14%

30%

45%

2

SEARCH RESULTS

10%

16%

28%

RACE 10 // G2 EDGEWOOD

4:51PM ET // $500K

PP

HORSE

WIN%

PLACE%

SHOW%

2

LIGURIA

23%

36%

51%

5

PRELIMINARY

19%

34%

49%

8

HEAVENLY SUNDAY

13%

22%

32%

3

CAIRO CONSORT

7%

17%

34%

RACE 11 // G1 KENTUCKY OAKS

5:51PM ET // $1.25M

PP

HORSE

WIN%

PLACE%

SHOW%

7

WET PAINT

29%

47%

55%

8

PROMISEHER AMERICA

15%

29%

37%

16

JULIA SHINING

14%

26%

38%

6

BOTANICAL

8%

12%

22%

RACE 12 // ALLOWANCE

6:25PM ET // $127K

PP

HORSE

WIN%

PLACE%

SHOW%

6

GUNS N' GRACES

21%

36%

51%

1

CURL GIRL

17%

35%

50%

7

FOREVER DIXIE

10%

20%

27%

5

HAYUNEVANO

9%

20%

33%

RACE 13 // MAIDEN

7:00PM ET // $120K

PP

HORSE

WIN%

PLACE%

SHOW%

14

AMERICAN RETRO

18%

35%

43%

1

KID'S LAST LAUGH

13%

25%

29%

8

NO GUILT

10%

13%

19%

7

EXCELLENT QUESTION

8%

17%

24%

Free Preakness Stakes Wagering Guide & Picks (58)

RACE 13

MILLIE BALL

BLACK-EYED SUSAN

friday // may 19

G2 - $300,000

SCENE SETTER: The fillies’ version of the Preakness headlines the Friday proceedings and will be run for the 99th time in its storied history. It’s been won by contemporary superstars like Serena’s Song, Silverbulletday and Royal Delta, as well as legends like Davona Dale, My Juliet and Nellie Morse. West coast leader FAIZA brings her perfect 5-for-5 record from Santa Anita. This promises to be one of the most anticipated Black-Eyed Susan renewals in years.

1/ST BET FACTORS, POWERED BY BETMIX:

Free Preakness Stakes Wagering Guide & Picks (59)

Among the most important 1/ST BET individual handicapping factors for the Black-Eyed Susan Stakes historically have been Avg. Earnings Distance, Last Turn Time, Best Speed Distance.

Free Preakness Stakes Wagering Guide & Picks (60)

Last year’s Black-Eyed Susan winner Interstatedaydream topped the field in factors such as Trainer 2-Year Win % and Avg. Last 3 Purse.

workout report // xbtv:

NAME

DATE

TRACK

DIST.

TIME

FAIZA

MAY12

SAP

4F

49.80

NOTES:

$100 wagering strategy:

  • $4 Trifecta Box: FAIZA, COMPARATIVE, MIRACLE, TAXED ($96)
  • $4 Exacta: FAIZA over COMPARATIVE

TOP 4 PICKS

1. FAIZA

2. COMPARATIVE

3. MIRACLE

4. TAXED

STATS &TRENDS

LAST 5 FAVORITES & FINISH

’22 Adare Manor

2.10

2nd

’21 Beautiful Gift

2.20

7th

’20 Bonny South

.90

2nd

’19 Always Shopping

2.80

6th

’18 Sara Street

2.80

4th

LAST 5 WINNERS PREPS

’22 Interstatedaydream

Kee

3rd

’21 Army Wife

Aqu

3rd

’20 Miss Marissa

Sar

1st

’19 Point of Honor

GP

4th

’18 Red Ruby

OP

4th

1/ST BET AI TOP 4 PICKS

5 FROSTY O TOOLE

WIN %

22%

7 COMPARATIVE

WIN %

18%

9 FAIZA

WIN %

14%

11 CATS IN THE TIMBER

WIN %

12%

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Free Preakness Stakes Wagering Guide & Picks (62)

Free Preakness Stakes Wagering Guide & Picks (63)

the machine

all races

PREAKNESS STAKES DAY

ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE picks

powered by betmix

The 1/ST BET 'Machine' analyzes millions of data points over more than 50 important handicapping factors for each race to create an exclusive handicapping outcome driven by big data.

POST

HORSE

WIN%

PLACE%

SHOW%

FAIR ODDS

PREAKNESS STAKES DAY saturDAY, MAY 20

RACE 1 // PREAKNESS STAKES

10:30AM ET // $1.5M

PP

HORSE

WIN%

PLACE%

SHOW%

5

TOMMY

35%

25%

20%

7

TINA

22%

19%

14%

1

NATE

22%

17%

11%

3

DUSTIN

19%

8%

2%

Free Preakness Stakes Wagering Guide & Picks (64)

RACE 13

EDDIE OLCZYK

PREAKNESS STAKES

saturday // may 20

G1 - $1,500,000

SCENE SETTER: Three straight Preakness winners were horses who did not compete in the Kentucky Derby, beginning with Swiss Skydiver (2020, October edition during pandemic), Rombauer (2021) and Early Voting (2022). It’s an era reminiscent of the start to the 1980s when Codex (1980), Aloma’s Ruler (1982) and Deputed Testamony (1983) all had Preakness success in a 4-year span. That rash of new shooters was followed by 17 straight Derby alumni winning at Old Hilltop. Derby vets have won by a 3-1 margin over the last 40 years. Among this year’s new shooters, trainer Chad Brown tries to go back-to-back with Blazing Sevens. Brad Cox has First Mission among the favorites.

1/ST BET FACTORS, POWERED BY BETMIX:

Free Preakness Stakes Wagering Guide & Picks (65)

Among the most important 1/ST BET individual handicapping factors for the Preakness Stakes historically have been Avg. Earnings Distance, Best Speed Distance and Avg. Speed Last 3.

Free Preakness Stakes Wagering Guide & Picks (66)

Last year’s winner Early Voting rated first in 6 of the top-15 1/ST BET factors for the Preakness, among those Best Speed Fast Track and Best Lifetime Speed.

trainer talk // mjc:

NAME

HORSE

TRACK

--

--

BRAD H. COX

FIRST MISSION

MJC

--

--

NOTES:

$100 wagering strategy:

  • $40 Win: BLAZING SEVENS
  • $5 Exacta Key-Box: BLAZING SEVENS with RED ROUTE ONE, MAGE ($20)
  • $5 Trifecta Part-Wheel: BLAZING SEVENS with RED ROUTE ONE, MAGE with RED ROUTE ONE, MAGE, NATIONAL TREASURE ($20)
  • $5 Trifecta Part-Wheel: RED ROUTE ONE, MAGE with BLAZING SEVENS with RED ROUTE ONE, MAGE, NATIONAL TREASURE ($20)

TOP 4 PICKS

1. BLAZING SEVENS

2. RED ROUTE ONE

3. MAGE

4. NATIONAL TREASURE

KNOW THIS

The only favorite to win the Preakness in the last 7 editions was 2018 Triple Crown winner Justify, who held off Bravazo’s rally by a half-length.

The last 9 Preakness editions have had at least 1 horse in the trifecta who did not compete in the Kentucky Derby. In 2013, the top-5 finishers all were Derby alumni.

The past 2 Preakness editions combined have had just 1 horse go off at odds above 20-1.

Horses last raced at the Keeneland meet have finished in the Preakness top-3 in 5 of the last 8 years.

Post 6 has produced the most Preakness winners all-time with 17, most recently Rombauer in 2021. The rail has only 4 wins since 1950, but includes American Pharoah (2015) and War of Will (2019) in recent vintages.

Only 2 Preakness winners have done so by a double-digit margin. Smarty Jones (2004) won by 11-1/2 lengths more than a century after Survivor (1874) scored by 10.

The Preakness has averaged 10.7 starters over the past 25 years, ranging between a high of 13 and a low of 8.

16 of the last 26 Preakness winners were named Champion 3-Year-Old, as was last year’s runner-up Epicenter.

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Free Preakness Stakes Wagering Guide & Picks (68)

betmix free past performance

Free Preakness Stakes Wagering Guide & Picks (69)

Free Preakness Stakes Wagering Guide & Picks (70)

RACE 13

jeff siegel

PREAKNESS STAKES

JEFF'S TAKE

G1 - $1,500,000

SCENE SETTER: The meteoric rise of MAGE from a January 28 debut to a May 6 Kentucky Derby winner was historic on many levels. He joined Justify (2018) as the only Derby winners since 1882 to not have raced as a 2-year-old. And he became just the fourth Derby winner since 1900 to win the roses in only his fourth lifetime start, joining Regret (1915), Big Brown (2008) and Justify (2018). Notably, Big Brown and Justify parlayed their Kentucky Derby scores into Preakness glory as well – Regret did not compete in the Preakness. The last horse to win the Derby at 15-1 or more odds and add a Preakness win was I’ll Have Another in 2012.

1/ST BET FACTORS, POWERED BY BETMIX:

Free Preakness Stakes Wagering Guide & Picks (71)

Among the most important 1/ST BET individual handicapping factors for the Preakness Stakes historically have been Last E2 Pace and Best Speed Fast Track and Speed Last Race.

Free Preakness Stakes Wagering Guide & Picks (72)

2021 Preakness winner Rombauer ranked first in 6 of the 1/ST BET handicapping factors for the race, but none of those were top-10 factors.

workout report // XBTV:

NAME

DATE

TRACK

DIST.

TIME

NATIONAL TREASURE

MAY12

SAP

4F

47.40

NOTES:

$100 wagering strategy:

  • $50 Exacta Part-Wheel: MAGE over NATIONAL TREASURE, PERFORM ($100)

TOP 4 picks

1. MAGE

2. FIRST MISSION (SCR)

3. NATIONAL TREASURE

4. PERFORM

preakness, THE LAST...

Kentucky Derby winner to win: Justify (2018)

Kentucky Derby runner-up to win: Exagerrator (2016)

Kentucky Derby show horse to win: Curlin (2007)

Kentucky Derby off the board finisher to win: War of Will (2019)

Kentucky Derby exacta to repeat 1-2 in Preakness: I’ll Have Another-Bodemeister (2012)

Kentucky Derby trifecta to repeat 1-2-3 in Preakness: Affirmed-Alydar-Believe It (1978)

Non-Kentucky Derby alum to win: Early Voting (2022, third straight)

Prepped last at Pimlico to win: Bee Bee Bee (1972)

Jockey to win back-to-back: Victor Espinoza 2014-’15 with California Chrome and American Pharoah

Jockey to win his debut: Flavien Prat (2021) with Rombauer

Trainer to win back-to-back: Bob Baffert (2001-‘02) with Point Given & War Emblem

Trainer to win his Debut: Michael McCarthy (2021) with Rombauer

Filly to win: Swiss Skydiver (2020), last of 5 fillies to have won this race

Gelding to win: Funny Cide (2003)

Wire-to-wire winner: Aloma’s Ruler (1982) from post position #7 (’18 Justify, ’15 American Pharoah, ’13 Oxbow, ’09 Rachel Alexandra, ’96 Louis Quatorze, led all but start call)

Winner to close from more than 10 lengths back: Exaggerator (2016) from 11 ½ lengths back after ¼ mile.

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RACE 13

JEREMY PLONK

PREAKNESS STAKES

PLONK'S PLAY

G1 - $1,500,000

SCENE SETTER: Trainer Steve Asmussen has had the Preakness runner-up each of the past 2 years in Midnight Bourbon (2021) and Epicenter (2022). This will mark his seventh straight Preakness with at least one starter, the longest active streak in the race. Twice Asmussen has hoisted the Woodlawn Vase, 2007 with Curlin and 2009 with Rachel Alexandra. His chance this Saturday is Oaklawn stakes winner Red Route One. Bob Baffert returns to the Preakness after a 1-year absence and looks for a record-breaking eighth victory in this race. He’ll saddle National Treasure in search of his first Preakness win since Justify in 2018.

1/ST BET FACTORS, POWERED BY BETMIX:

Free Preakness Stakes Wagering Guide & Picks (76)

Among the most important 1/ST BET individual handicapping factors for the Preakness Stakes historically have been Avg. Lifetime Earnings, Avg. Best 2 of Last 3 Speed and Best Lifetime Speed.

Free Preakness Stakes Wagering Guide & Picks (77)

2020 Preakness winner Swiss Skydiver ranked first in 7 of the 1/ST BET handicapping factors for the race, but none of those were top-10 factors.

TRAINER TALK // MJC:

TRAINER

HORSE

TRACK

--

--

GUSTAVO DELGADO JR

MAGE

MJC

--

--

NOTES:

$100 wagering strategy:

  • $60 Win: PERFORM
  • $20 Exacta Box: PERFORM and MAGE ($40)

TOP 4 picks

1. PERFORM

2. MAGE

3. NATIONAL TREASURE

4. RED ROUTE ONE

STATS & TRENDS

PREAKNESS WINNERS WHO SKIPPED DERBY

Early Voting

--

2022

Rombauer

--

2021

Swiss Skydiver

--

2020

Cloud Computing

--

2017

Rachel Alexandra

--

2009

Bernardinia

--

2006

Red Bullet

--

2000

Deputed Testamony

--

1983

Aloma's Ruler

--

1982

Codex

--

1980

HALF-MILE LEADERS

2022

Armagnac

7th

2021

Medina Spirit

3rd

2020

Authentic

2nd

2019

Warrior's Charge

4th

2018

Justify

1st

2017

Always Dreaming

8th

2016

Nyquist

3rd

2015

American Pharoah

1st

2014

Pablo Del Monte

6th

2013

Oxbow

1st

1/ST BET AI TOP 4 PICKS

8 FIRST MISSION

WIN%

34%

3 MAGE

WIN%

20%

1 NATIONAL TREASURE

WIN%

10%

5 RED ROUTE ONE

WIN%

10%

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Free Preakness Stakes Wagering Guide & Picks (79)

betmix free past performance

Free Preakness Stakes Wagering Guide & Picks (80)Free Preakness Stakes Wagering Guide & Picks (81)

preakness stakes

THE LAST 25 YEARS

FACT SHEET

WIN-PLACE-SHOW ODDS

WIN ODDS

Average

17.42-to-1

--

High

80.80

Rich Strike '22

Low

2.30

Fuscaichi Pegasus '20; Nyquist '16

Notable: Last 4 official winners averaged nearly 42-1 following 6 straight winning favorites.

PLACE ODDS

Average

18.04-to-1

--

High

71.60

Closing Argument '05

Low

0.70

Tiz the Law '20

Notable: 5 of the last 8 official runners-up have been horses with single-digit odds.

SHOW ODDS

Average

11.98-to-1

--

High

46.50

Mr. Big News '20

Low

2.70

Indian Charlie '98

Notable: 10 of the last 19 official Derby third-place finishers have been 24-1 or more.

exotics payoffs

EXACTA ($2 PAYOFFS)

Average

$1,070.90

--

High

$9,814.80

Giacomo-Closing Argument '05

Low

$30.60

Nyquist-Exaggerator '16

Notable: Last year’s $4,102.20 payoff was the second-highest in the last 25 years.

TRIFECTA ($2 PAYOFFS)

Average

$13,015.77

--

High

$133,134.80

Giacomo-Closing Argument-Afleet Alex '05

Low

$173.40

Nyquist-Exaggerator-Gun Runner '16

Notable: Last year’s $29,741.40 trifecta was the second-highest in the 28-year Derby history of the wager.

SUPERFECTA ($1 PAYOFFS)

Average

$87,913.46

--

High

$864,253.50

Giacomo-Closing Argument-Afleet Alex-Don't Get Mad '05

Low

$542.10

Nyquist-Exaggerator-Gun Runner-Mohaymen '16

Notable: Last year’s $321,510.00 trifecta was the second-highest in the 27-year Derby history of the wager.

'22 preakness handle totals

IN MILLIONS EXCEPT Hi-5

Win/Place/Show

$75.6

--

Exacta

$25.7

--

Trifecta

$32.8

--

Superfecta

$14.8

--

Super Hi-5

$950K

--

Pick 4

$3.3

--

Pick 5

$4.6

--

Pick 6

$2.5

--

Oaks/Derby Db

$3.2

--

'22 preakness replay

  • Early Voting
  • Epicenter
  • Zandon
  • Simplification
  • Mo Donegal

'22 PAYOUTS (W-P-S EARLY VOTING)

$2 Win: $163.60
$2 Place: $74.20
$2 Show: $29.40
$2 Exacta: $4,101.20
$.50Trifecta: $7,435.35
$1 Superfecta: $643,000.20

$2 Hi-5: $1,482,037.80
$2 Double: $2,729.80
$.50 Pick 3: $1,612.20
$.50 Pick 4: $25,834.75
$.50 Pick 5: $247,215.56
$.50 Pick 6: $161,630.86

'23 preakness past performance

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